???? 據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)2021年4月10日休斯敦報(bào)道，挪威著名能源研究和商業(yè)情報(bào)公司雷斯塔能源公司（Rystad Energy）的一份報(bào)告顯示，北美的水力壓裂活動(dòng)已幾乎恢復(fù)到了新冠肺炎疫情大流行前的水平，今年3月，北美水力壓裂開(kāi)工數(shù)達(dá)到了12個(gè)月以來(lái)的最高水平。今年第一季度，美國(guó)二疊紀(jì)盆地的壓裂完井?dāng)?shù)超過(guò)了維持產(chǎn)量所需的水平，因此，美國(guó)第二季度的石油產(chǎn)量肯定會(huì)上升，但今年晚些時(shí)候增幅可能會(huì)再次放緩。
????Rystad Energy今年3月在北美就登記了967口已開(kāi)始?jí)毫炎鳂I(yè)井。由于過(guò)去幾天的衛(wèi)星數(shù)據(jù)覆蓋不完整，Rystad Energy估計(jì)，如果在這個(gè)月剩下的時(shí)間里保持壓裂活動(dòng)的運(yùn)行速度，大約有97口井的壓裂作業(yè)沒(méi)有被檢測(cè)到。這將使3月份的最終已開(kāi)始?jí)毫炎鳂I(yè)的井?dāng)?shù)達(dá)到1064口，比2021年1月的活動(dòng)水平高出約6.5%。
????美國(guó)幾乎所有的主要頁(yè)巖盆地在今年第二季度至少都處于產(chǎn)量維持狀態(tài)，甚至有一些連續(xù)的產(chǎn)量增長(zhǎng)，就像二疊紀(jì)盆地一樣。唯一的例外是巴肯地區(qū)和阿納達(dá)科地區(qū)，這兩個(gè)地區(qū)的運(yùn)營(yíng)商可能仍在努力應(yīng)對(duì)第二季度的產(chǎn)量基數(shù)下降。
????然而，必須指出的是，奈厄布拉勒地區(qū)3月份的壓裂活動(dòng)數(shù)可能被高估了。雖然水力壓裂活動(dòng)的增長(zhǎng)是真實(shí)的，但當(dāng)前的數(shù)值是由幾個(gè)大型區(qū)塊的水力壓裂活動(dòng)檢測(cè)所驅(qū)動(dòng)的。雷斯塔能源公司相信，這些地區(qū)的一些壓裂作業(yè)將在3月和4月的幾周內(nèi)鋪開(kāi)。
????李峻 編譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)
????原文如下：
????North American Fracking Activity Soars To Near Pre-Pandemic Levels
????Fracking in North America has almost recovered to pre-pandemic levels, with the count of started frac jobs reaching a 12-month high in March 2021, a Rystad Energy report shows. The number of completed wells in the Permian basin during the first quarter of 2021 exceeded the required output maintenance level, so oil production is set to rise in the current quarter – but will likely slow again later in the year.
????Rystad Energy has already registered 967 started frac operations in North America for March 2021. As satellite data coverage is incomplete for the past few days, we estimate that about 97 jobs are yet to be detected if the running rate of frac activity is maintained in the remainder of the month. This will bring the final count for March to about 1,064 wells – exceeding the January 2021 activity level by about 6.5%.
????Nearly all major basins are positioned for at least production maintenance in the second quarter of the year, or even some sequential production growth, as is the case with the Permian. The only exceptions are the Bakken and Anadarko regions, where operators may still struggle to cope with the base decline this quarter.
????It has to be mentioned, however, that the March frac count for the Niobrara may be overestimated. While the growth in fracking activity is real, the current value is driven by detection of fracking activity on several large pads. We believe that some frac operations on these pads will in reality be spread out across several weeks during March and April.
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