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市場現供應趨緊跡象 布倫特原油突破75美元

   2021-07-01 互聯網訊

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核心提示:   據《能源年》6月22日倫敦報道,由于市場出現迅速收緊的跡象,周二亞洲早盤油價上漲。  截至美國東部

   據《能源年》6月22日倫敦報道,由于市場出現迅速收緊的跡象,周二亞洲早盤油價上漲。

  截至美國東部時間下午4:41(格林威治標準時間凌晨4:41),布倫特原油期貨價格上漲0.32%,至75.14美元,兩年多來首次達到75美元。WTI期貨價格小幅上漲0.10%,至73.19美元。

  隨著美國和歐洲等經濟繼續從疫情中復蘇,布倫特原油期貨今年上漲了40%以上,從而改善了燃料需求前景。

  美國銀行甚至預測,由于旅游業的反彈,全球原油基準價格可能在2022年達到每桶100美元。

  VandaInsights創始人Vandana Hari 告訴彭博社稱,需求樂觀情緒現在已經確立,市場收緊是非常受關注的......如果這次反彈暫停,它很可能來自供應方面。

  然而,一些國家持續爆發的疫情鄭重提醒人們,燃料需求復蘇仍然不平衡。

  然而,對石油的整體樂觀前景給石油輸出國組織(OPEC)及其盟國(OPEC+)增加了壓力,迫使其在下周召開會議時考慮恢復更多在疫情期間受到限制的產量。

  投資者目前正在等待美國石油協會(American Petroleum Institute)當日晚些時候提供的美國原油供應。如果將于本周晚些時候公布的美國能源情報署(EIA)數據和原油供應數據出現平局,這將是連續第五周下跌。

  郝芬 譯自 《能源年》

  原文如下:

  Brent tops $75 as signs of tightening market emerge

  Oil was up Tuesday morning in Asia, with signs emerging of a rapidly tightening market.

  Brent oil futures were up 0.32% to $75.14 by 4:41 PM ET (4:41 AM GMT), after hitting the $75 mark for the first time in more than two years. WTI futures inched up 0.10% to $73.19.

  Brent futures have rallied more than 40% this year as countries such as the US, China and Europe continue their economic recoveries from Covid-19, thus improving the fuel demand outlook.

  Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:BAC) even forecast that the global crude benchmark could hit the $100 a barrel in 2022 thanks to a rebound in travel.

  “Demand optimism is now well established, and a tightening of the market is very much in the spotlight… if there is a pause in this rally, it will likely come from the supply side,” Vanda (NASDAQ:VNDA) Insights founder Vandana Hari told Bloomberg.

  However, ongoing Covid-19 outbreaks in several countries are a grim reminder that fuel demand recovery remains uneven.

  Also dampening investor sentiment is China’s crackdown on its private refiners. The second batch of 2021 crude import quotas allocated to them was about 35% less than 2020, which could impact flows in the sector, which accounts for around a quarter of processing capacity in the world’s largest oil importer.

  However, the overall bullish outlook for the black liquid is adding pressure on the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) to consider reviving more of the production curbed during Covid-19 when it meets in the following week.

  Investors now await US crude oil supply from the American Petroleum Institute, due later in the day. Should the data and crude oil supply data from the US Energy Information Administration, due later in the week, show a draw, it would be a fifth weekly decline.



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