據(jù)6月24日Rigzone消息：油價小幅上漲，突破每桶73美元，因美國庫存下降加劇了對全球需求復(fù)蘇的樂觀情緒。

　　上周美國汽油庫存意外下降，而全國原油供應(yīng)連續(xù)第五周下降，為1月份以來最長時間。

　　不過，油價近期可能面臨一些動蕩，有一項技術(shù)指標(biāo)顯示，油價可能已經(jīng)攀升得過高、過快。原油在14日相對強(qiáng)弱指數(shù)上徘徊于超買區(qū)域。

　　隨著全球范圍內(nèi)開展疫苗接種，復(fù)蘇速度加快，增加了燃料消耗，并幫助消耗了疫情高峰期間建立的庫存。歐佩克+聯(lián)盟計劃在下周末召開會議，討論8月份的產(chǎn)量政策，一些國家正在考慮支持增產(chǎn)。

　　新加坡DailyFX策略師Margaret Yang稱，"市場緊縮似乎足以抵消歐佩克+產(chǎn)量的上升。該聯(lián)盟的任何產(chǎn)出增長“應(yīng)該是非常緩慢和漸進(jìn)的”。

　　價格

　　紐約商品交易所8月交貨的西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油價格周三小幅上漲，至每桶73.39美元，上漲0.4%。

　　歐洲洲際交易所8月結(jié)算的布倫特原油價格上漲0.4%，至每桶75.50美元，周三上漲0.5%，收于2018年10月以來的最高水平。

　　布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨價差為每桶71美分，這是一種看漲結(jié)構(gòu)，即近期合約比后期合約更貴。相比之下，本周初為85美分。

　　美國能源信息署周三公布的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，上周美國原油庫存減少760萬桶，而庫欣原油庫存則連續(xù)第二周下降。與彭博社調(diào)查預(yù)測的增長相比，汽油供應(yīng)減少了290萬桶。

　　報告稱，去年同期，美國190個碼頭的庫存約為9.73億桶。

　　馮娟 摘譯自 Rigzone

　　原文如下：

　　Oil Up with Shrinking Stockpiles Tightening Market

　　Oil edged higher above $73 a barrel as falling stockpiles in the U.S. and China added to bullish sentiment around the global demand recovery.

　　Gasoline inventories in the U.S. unexpectedly fell last week, while nationwide crude supplies dropped for a fifth week, the longest run since January.

　　Oil may be facing some near-term turbulence, however, with one technical indicator signaling that prices may have climbed too far, too fast. Crude is flirting with overbought territory on the 14-day Relative Strength Index.

　　The recovery has accelerated as vaccinations are rolled out worldwide, boosting fuel consumption and helping to drain stockpiles that were built up during the height of the pandemic. The OPEC+ alliance is scheduled to meet toward the end of next week to discuss its production policy for August and some nations are considering backing an output increase.

　　“A tightening market seems to be more than enough to offset a hike in OPEC+ production,” Margaret Yang, a strategist at DailyFX in Singapore. Any output increase from the alliance “should be very slow and gradual,” she added.

　　Meanwhile, U.S. negotiators are preparing to return to a seventh round of indirect talks with Iran on reviving a nuclear deal. A rejuvenated agreement may lead to the lifting of sanctions on Tehran and increased crude flows, although progress has been slow and complicated so far.

　　Prices

　　West Texas Intermediate for August delivery rose 0.4% to $73.39 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 7:25 a.m. in London after inching higher on Wednesday.

　　Brent for August settlement gained 0.4% to $75.50 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange after increasing 0.5% on Wednesday to close at the highest level since October 2018.

　　The prompt timespread for Brent was 71 cents a barrel in backwardation -- a bullish structure where near-dated contracts are more expensive than later-dated ones. That compares with 85 cents at the start of the week.

　　U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 7.6 million barrels last week, while inventories at the storage hub of Cushing dropped for a second week, according to data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday. Gasoline supplies shrunk by 2.9 million barrels, compared with a forecast gain in a Bloomberg survey.

　　Stockpiles at the nation’s 190 terminals were at about 973 million barrels at this time last year, it said.

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