據(jù)油田技術(shù)7月6日消息稱，根據(jù)GlobalData的分析，自2019年11月產(chǎn)量達(dá)到峰值以來，巴肯頁巖產(chǎn)量持續(xù)下降。這家領(lǐng)先的數(shù)據(jù)分析公司指出，主要油氣運(yùn)營商的資本配置穩(wěn)步增加和基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的改善將重啟該地區(qū)的生產(chǎn)。

　　根據(jù) GlobalData 的最新報告《2021 年美國巴肯頁巖市場分析和 2025 年石油和天然氣頁巖市場分析和展望》，到2020年，巴肯頁巖僅占美國48州石油產(chǎn)量的11%，天然氣產(chǎn)量2.8%，相比2019年的12%的原油和3%的天然氣產(chǎn)量有所下降。

　　GlobalData的石油和天然氣分析師Svetlana Doh評論道:“巴肯頁巖的生產(chǎn)受到了疫情爆發(fā)和經(jīng)濟(jì)活動限制的不利影響。雖然在2021年上半年放松限制和旅行禁令改善了需求前景，但預(yù)計未來五年內(nèi)產(chǎn)量不會達(dá)到大流行前的水平。這是因?yàn)檫\(yùn)營商在增加鉆井活動方面仍然非常謹(jǐn)慎，我們很可能不會看到短期內(nèi)租用新鉆機(jī)的明顯加速?！?/p>

　　2019年，巴肯平均鉆機(jī)數(shù)為55臺，之后降至24臺，到2020年下降了79%。

　　曹海斌 摘譯自 油田技術(shù)

　　原文如下：

　　Higher investment needed for Bakken Shale to exhibit full recovery, says GlobalData

　　Bakken shale has experienced a constant decline since production peaked in November 2019, according to analysis by GlobalData. The leading data and analytics company notes that a steady rise in capital allocation from leading oil and gas operators and infrastructural improvements would reboot production in this region.

　　According to GlobalData’s latest report, ‘Bakken Shale in the US, 2021 – Oil and Gas Shale Market Analysis and Outlook to 2025’, Bakken Shale accounted for a mere 11% of oil and 2.8% of natural gas production in the US Lower 48 for 2020, which is a drop from 12% for crude oil and 3% for natural gas in 2019

　　Svetlana Doh, Oil & Gas Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “Production in the Bakken shale was adversely affected by the COVID-19 outbreak and restrictions on economic activity. Although easing of restrictions and travel bans during H1 2021 have improved demand prospects, production is not expected to reach pre-pandemic levels in the next five years. This is because operators are still being extremely careful in ramping up drilling activities, and most likely we will not see any significant acceleration in hiring new rigs in the near-term.”

　　The Bakken averaged 55 drilling rigs in 2019, which then decreased to an average of 24 rigs – a 79% drop in 2020.

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