據(jù)彭博社7月22日?qǐng)?bào)道,因市場(chǎng)預(yù)期需求復(fù)蘇將很快令全球市場(chǎng)吃緊,油價(jià)小幅走高,創(chuàng)下3個(gè)月來(lái)最大漲幅。
西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油(West Texas Intermediate)期貨價(jià)格進(jìn)一步突破每桶70美元,目前已收復(fù)了周一7.5%的大部分跌幅。許多大型石油消費(fèi)國(guó)的汽油使用基本上已恢復(fù)正常,道路交通數(shù)據(jù)也顯示出轉(zhuǎn)好的趨勢(shì)。市場(chǎng)復(fù)蘇促使亞洲從戰(zhàn)略儲(chǔ)備中向地方煉油廠供應(yīng)原油,以期為油價(jià)降溫。
由于擔(dān)心delta變異毒株的傳播將對(duì)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)造成新的打擊,周一原油價(jià)格與更廣泛的金融市場(chǎng)同步下跌。這種病毒已經(jīng)席卷了整個(gè)亞洲,促使各國(guó)政府重新出臺(tái)一系列限制措施,以遏制其蔓延。油價(jià)暴跌發(fā)生在歐佩克+周末會(huì)議之后,由沙特阿拉伯和俄羅斯領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的23國(guó)聯(lián)盟最終確定了恢復(fù)停產(chǎn)的計(jì)劃。
自那以來(lái),市場(chǎng)一直在好轉(zhuǎn),因?yàn)榻灰讍T預(yù)計(jì)歐佩克+計(jì)劃的增產(chǎn)幅度不足以避免未來(lái)幾個(gè)月出現(xiàn)短缺。美國(guó)政府?dāng)?shù)據(jù)顯示,俄克拉荷馬州庫(kù)欣的石油庫(kù)存降至2020年1月以來(lái)的最低水平,市場(chǎng)情緒得到提振。
PVM石油聯(lián)合公司的分析師Stephen Brennock表示:“市場(chǎng)參與者擺脫了對(duì)疫情將打擊石油需求的部分擔(dān)憂情緒,相信石油基本面會(huì)收緊。”
價(jià)格方面
倫敦時(shí)間上午10點(diǎn)29分,紐約商品交易所9月份交貨的西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油(WTI)價(jià)格上漲0.9%,至每桶70.96美元。
在歐洲期貨交易所,9月份交割的布倫特原油價(jià)格上漲0.9%,至每桶72.85美元。布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨價(jià)差為每桶63美分。雖然這是一種看漲趨勢(shì),近期價(jià)格高于遠(yuǎn)期價(jià)格,但一周前的價(jià)差為每桶70美分。
美國(guó)能源信息署(EIA)周三公布,盡管美國(guó)原油庫(kù)存意外增加,但餾分油和汽油供應(yīng)下降。來(lái)自世界各地的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,目前美國(guó)、印度、西班牙和葡萄牙的汽油消費(fèi)量低于2019年水平的4%,而英國(guó)的需求下降了6%
王佳晶 摘譯自 彭博社
原文如下:
Oil rises after biggest gain in three months on demand recovery
Oil edged higher, holding the biggest gain in three months, amid expectations that recovering demand will soon tighten global markets.
West Texas Intermediate futures pushed further above US$70 a barrel, and have now recouped much of Monday’s 7.5 per centcollapse. Gasoline use is essentially back to normal in many of the biggest oil-consuming countries, with road traffic data showing a similar trend. The market recovery has spurred Asia to supply crude from its strategic reserves to local refiners in a bid to cool prices.
Crude slumped on Monday in tandem with broader financial markets on fears that the spread of the coronavirus’ delta variant would inflict a fresh blow on the global economy. The variant has ripped through Asia, prompting a flurry of renewed curbs by governments to check its spread. The price plunge came just after a weekend meeting of OPEC+, at which the 23-nation alliance led by Saudi Arabia and Russia finalized plans to restore halted production.
Since then, the market has been on the mend as traders anticipate that OPEC+’s scheduled output increases aren’t large enough to avert a shortfall in coming months. Sentiment has been boosted as U.S. government data showed oil inventories at the nation’s key storage hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, falling to the lowest since January 2020.
“Market players shook off some of their worries that the pandemic will hit oil demand and put their faith in tightening oil fundamentals,” said Stephen Brennock, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates Ltd.
Prices:
WTI for September delivery rose 0.9 per centto US$70.96 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:29 a.m. London time.
Brent for September settlement also advanced 0.9 per centto trade at US$72.85 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange.
Brent’s prompt time spread was 63 cents a barrel in backwardation. While that’s a bullish pattern -- with near-dated prices above those further out -- it compares with 70 cents a barrel a week ago.
Although there was an unexpected build in overall U.S. crude stockpiles, distillates and gasoline supplies declined, the Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday. Data from around the world now show gasoline consumption within 4 per centeither side of 2019 levels in the U.S., India, Spain and Portugal, while demand is down 6 per centin the U.K.
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