據(jù)世界石油網(wǎng)站2月4日?qǐng)?bào)道 美國頁巖地區(qū)的產(chǎn)量今年正在重新恢復(fù)繁榮，研究和數(shù)據(jù)分析公司Lium LLC預(yù)測(cè)產(chǎn)量將激增100多萬桶/日。
這是迄今為止最樂觀的行業(yè)預(yù)測(cè)。相比之下，美國能源信息管理署（EIA）表示，美國今年年底的日產(chǎn)量將比1月份的水平高出約63萬桶。康菲石油公司則預(yù)測(cè)，2022年產(chǎn)量將以日產(chǎn)90萬桶速度增長。
Lium稱，100多萬桶/日將是該地區(qū)自2018年以來最大的產(chǎn)量增長。
該公司在周四晚些時(shí)候的一份研究報(bào)告中寫道：“最近幾周的現(xiàn)場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù)凸顯了壓裂作業(yè)的激增，我們相信這將在年中轉(zhuǎn)化為產(chǎn)量變化。該行業(yè)正在（我們認(rèn)為將繼續(xù)）找到一種方法，將大量服務(wù)活動(dòng)投入該領(lǐng)域。”
Lium表示，占美國總產(chǎn)量三分之一以上的私營運(yùn)營商，在未來六個(gè)月內(nèi)準(zhǔn)備完成油井時(shí)，預(yù)計(jì)將重新恢復(fù)繁榮，占總產(chǎn)量18%的主要石油公司已經(jīng)開始增加產(chǎn)量。
埃克森美孚周二表示，計(jì)劃今年將美國最大產(chǎn)油區(qū)二疊紀(jì)盆地的產(chǎn)量提高25%。此前四天，雪佛龍公司宣布將在更大的生產(chǎn)基地基礎(chǔ)上增加10%的二疊紀(jì)供應(yīng)。
王磊 摘譯自 世界石油
原文如下：
U.S. shale back to booming, adding 1 million barrels a day
Output in the U.S. shale patch is “re-booming” this year, with research and data analysis firm Lium LLC forecasting production will surge by more than 1 million barrels a day.
That’s the most bullish industry forecast yet. By comparison, the Energy Information Administration says the U.S. will end the year producing about 630,000 barrels a day more than January levels; ConocoPhillips predicts output will grow by as much as 900,000 barrels a day in 2022.
The addition of more than 1 million barrels a day would represent the region’s largest expansion of output since 2018, according to Lium.
“Field level datapoints in recent weeks have highlighted a surge in frac activity, which we believe will translate into a production inflection by mid-year,” the firm wrote in a late Thursday research note. “The industry is finding (and we think will continue to find) a way to put plenty of service activity into the field.”
Private operators, which represent more than a third of U.S. output, are expected to “re-boom” over the next six months as they get ready to complete wells, while the major oil companies -- accounting for another 18% of production -- have already started growing production, Lium said.
Exxon Mobil Corp. said Tuesday it plans to boost output by 25% this year in the Permian Basin, the biggest U.S. oil-producing region. That comes four days after Chevron Corp. announced it will ramp up its own Permian supplies by 10% from an even larger production base.
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